Echo in a Small Room ✎

Original: "Ruelle-Pollicott Resonances of Stochastic Systems in Reduced State Space. Part I: Theory"
arXiv:1912.03170 · 2019-12-06 · arXiv non-exclusive · independent analysis · 1 min
From partial observations, you can recover the main rhythms of a complex system.

In a large hall, sound bounces off the walls, and even if you stand in a corner, you can guess the shape of the room from the echo. The same applies in science: even if you observe only a small part of a complex system, you can hear the "echo" of the main processes in its time series.

The system can be anything: an ocean, the atmosphere, a molecule. We see only one quantity, such as the temperature at a single point. Behind it lie many hidden variables. But the system has a set of Ruelle–Pollicott resonances, numbers that tell you how quickly the connections between past and future decay. You can estimate these resonances from a time series by dividing it into bins and counting how often the system moves from one bin to another.

Main result: resonances extracted from partial data almost match those of the optimal simplified model, even when simplification seems impossible.

This lets you test how well a simplified model preserves temporal correlations and find hidden oscillations in noisy data. Previously it was unclear whether this could be done; now it has been shown that it can, and it works.

Ruelle–Pollicott resonances are named after David Ruelle and Mark Pollicott, who introduced them in the mid-1980s for chaotic deterministic systems. In the stochastic context, they correspond to eigenvalues of the Kolmogorov operator, which describes the evolution of probability distributions.

Concepts
stochastic differential equations resonance stochastic processes PI-RADS classification stochastic dynamical system