Boolean Networks Take On Cellular Aging bioRxiv

Original: "Attractor Landscape Analysis Distinguishes Aging Markers from Rejuvenation Targets in Human Keratinocytes"
· N Copes, C.-A. E Canfield
b42w:2602.90009 · the paper's page · 2026-02-03 · CC BY 4.0 · 4 min
An aging cell can be returned to a youthful state if you look not for marker genes but for the switch genes in its regulatory network.

Context

The paper sits on the outskirts of the knowledge map: almost no one nearby, the closest neighbor at a distance of 0.506, and nothing at all right next to it. The map's thematic group brings together evolution, horizontal gene transfer, phylogenetic networks and cell studies, but this article is not about evolution, it is about the regulation of aging. Its neighbors in the archive work on cellular senescence, brain age maps, the tumor microenvironment and DNA methylation, meaning they describe age-related changes at the level of expression, epigenetics or morphology. This work takes a step sideways: it does not simply record what changes with age, it builds a dynamic model that shows what governs those changes.

Methods

The authors took a published single-cell RNA sequencing dataset from skin biopsies of nine donors aged 18 to 76. After filtering, 47,060 cells of 25 types remained, of which 80.4% were keratinocytes. For these cells they built pseudotime trajectories with Monocle3 and selected two branches where pseudotime correlated significantly with donor age. Then, for each branch, they identified switch genes with GeneSwitches, reconstructed the regulatory network using SCENIC and turned it into a Boolean model in which each gene can be on or off. The model was simulated to find attractors, the stable states of the network, and they tested how the landscape of attractors changes under virtual knockout or overexpression of each gene.

Results

For the Y_272 trajectory, a model of 613 genes showed a single attractor: a cycle of 20 states with a positive 'aging score' of +4.362, pointing to aging as convergence on a stable old state. Knocking out BACH2 collapsed this attractor and shifted the score to −1.565, that is, by 3.746 units toward the young side, which amounted to 98.9% of the maximum possible improvement. Yet none of the 25 switch genes whose expression changed most with age produced a useful effect when perturbed. For the Y_308 trajectory, a model of 575 genes revealed six attractors, among which the young one dominated (basin of attraction covering 95.8% of initial states). The best intervention turned out to be knockout of ASCL2, which improved the score by 0.072 units, while the combination ASCL2 + ATF6 produced synergy and an improvement of 0.088 units.

Implications

The main difference from neighboring work is the shift from description to control. The archive's neighbors map age-related changes, build atlases of aging and hunt for biomarkers, but they do not test which genes actually control the stability of age-related states. Here, for the first time in skin aging, attractor analysis of Boolean networks was applied, and it separated passengers from drivers: genes with vivid age dynamics turned out to be passengers, while the hidden regulatory nodes BACH2 and ASCL2 were the drivers. This changes the strategy for finding therapeutic targets: instead of the 'noisiest' genes, look for the ones that hold a cell in the old basin of attraction, even if their own expression barely changes.

Future development

The topic could move toward experimental testing of the predicted targets BACH2 and ASCL2 in keratinocyte cultures and in models of skin aging. Another path is extending the approach to other cell types, such as fibroblasts, which in the original work by Zou et al. were considered the most vulnerable to age but here did not pass the correlation threshold. The model could also be made more complex: accounting for dose-dependent effects instead of a strict on/off, and incorporating continuous gradients of gene activity.

Impact

The PRISM method could be transferred to the analysis of aging in other tissues and to the search for rejuvenation targets in regenerative medicine. It also applies to cancer, where attractors describe stable states of tumor cells and network perturbations offer ways to push a cell into a less aggressive state.

Next steps

The immediate step is experimental testing of BACH2 and ASCL2 knockout in primary human keratinocytes, with assessment of aging markers and functional assays. In parallel, the model's predictions should be validated on independent datasets and the regulatory links refined using direct measurement methods such as ChIP-seq.

Key open problems

The work speaks directly to an unsolved problem in cell biology: why some genes change expression with age but do not affect the process, while others, almost invisible, govern the stability of the age-related state. This ties into the broader question of how regulatory networks encode cell identity and how switching between attractors might reverse aging.

Boolean networks for modeling gene regulation were proposed by Stuart Kauffman back in 1969, long before single-cell sequencing existed. His idea that cell types correspond to network attractors only gained experimental support decades later.

The idea of reprogramming a cell from an old state to a young one by intervening in its regulatory network echoes the plot of the film 'The Cloverfield Paradox', where a particle accelerator accidentally alters the fundamental parameters of reality. Here, though, the switch is not random but computed.

Key numbers

  • share of keratinocytes in the data: 80.4%
  • number of genes in the Y_272 model: 613
  • basin of attraction of the young attractor Y_308: 95.8%
  • shift in aging score upon BACH2 knockout: −3.746
  • accuracy of Boolean rule prediction: about 67%

Take the whole work

Not published on arXiv. Here are its page, the PDF and the formalization: you can check it yourself, not only read our account.

Concepts
aging clock biological age