How Sumatra's Mountains Shape Storms

Original: "Extended analysis of the effects of the Sumatra topography on downstream low-level vortex development over the Indian Ocean"
arXiv:2210.14370 · 2022-10-25 · CC BY 4.0 · 1 min
Sumatra's mountains leave spinning trails in the air, and from these, tropical cyclones are born.

Sumatra's mountain range works like a stamping press: when easterly winds hit the slopes, they leave a chain of spinning imprints in the air behind the island. These vortices, like blanks on a conveyor belt, detach from the land and drift out over the ocean. Over ten years, from 2008 to 2017, 1141 such vortices were born off the coasts of Sumatra, the Malay Peninsula, and Java.

One in four tropical cyclones in the Indian Ocean starts with such a vortex. This means that the fate of storms threatening India and Sri Lanka is often decided in a narrow band of air behind the mountains.

Previously, scientists had only short-term observations, and it was unclear whether vortices were always this frequent. Now, a decade of statistics has confirmed that about 70% of vortices are born during easterly winds. And near Sumatra's southern tip, a particular wind can quadruple their number. Why the effect is so strong there remains a mystery, but solving it could improve storm forecasting.

Sumatra straddles the equator, and its mountains in places exceed 3000 meters. It is the only major island that lies directly on the equator and yet has such high terrain capable of blocking the trade winds.

Concepts
monsoon tropical cyclone Indian Ocean Dipole Madden–Julian Oscillation Westerly wind burst interannual variability tropospheric biennial oscillation Niño 4 ENSO