Cosmic Clocks Diverge: A New Mystery of the Universe's Expansion ✛

Original: "Two per cent measurement of $$H_0$$ from Cepheids alone"
arXiv:2509.09665 · 2025-09-11 · CC BY 4.0 · 1 min
Measuring the expansion rate using Cepheids yielded 71.1 (km/s)/Mpc — the conflict with other methods has only intensified.

Measuring the expansion of the Universe is like checking the time on two perfect clocks: one set by the ancient light of the cosmic microwave background, the other by stars and supernovae. And the more precisely we compare them, the more their readings diverge. Now, a new 'clock' using only pulsating Cepheid stars has added a third, even more unexpected result.

Astronomers carefully accounted for the motion of galaxies relative to each other and obtained a Hubble constant of 71.1 (km/s)/Mpc. This is lower than the previous standard (73.2 from Adam Riess), but the discrepancy with the 'relic radiation' clock has grown to a level where chance is almost ruled out (less than 0.5%). Contrary to hopes, cleaning up the mechanism did not synchronize the clocks but only highlighted the fault.

In 1929, Edwin Hubble using the same Cepheids calculated 500 (km/s)/Mpc — it turned out he confused two types of these stars. We no longer confuse them, but the divergence hints that in the very mechanism of the cosmic clocks — the standard model — there may be some missing gears.

Edwin Hubble's first measurement in 1929 gave about 500 km/s per megaparsec — seven times larger than today's, because he didn't know about the two types of Cepheids.

v = H_0 d
A galaxy's recession speed increases with distance: the farther away, the faster it moves.
Scientists
Adam RiessBrian SchmidtEdwin HubbleGeorges LemaîtreMaarten SchmidtSaul Perlmutter
Concepts
hubble tension hubble constant measurement five sigma cosmic expansion uncertainty cosmic distance ladder early dark energy Hubble's law cepheid