The Hubble tension is a major unsolved problem in cosmology: two independent methods of measuring the universe's expansion rate (the Hubble constant, H₀) yield significantly different values. One method uses the cosmic microwave background (CMB) — the leftover radiation from the Big Bang — and assumes the standard cosmological model, giving a value of about 67.4 km/s/Mpc. The other method uses local distance measurements, such as Cepheid variable stars and Type Ia supernovae, giving a higher value of about 73.0 km/s/Mpc. The discrepancy is far beyond measurement uncertainties, suggesting either unknown physics or a flaw in our cosmological model.
History
The tension emerged in the 2010s as measurements improved. The Planck satellite's 2013 CMB data gave a low value, while the Hubble Space Telescope's SH0ES project, led by Adam Riess, consistently measured a higher value, sharpening the discrepancy over subsequent years.
How it works
The CMB method measures the expansion rate indirectly by fitting the angular scale of acoustic oscillations in the early universe, which depend on the sound horizon at recombination. This requires assuming a specific cosmological model (ΛCDM). The local method builds a cosmic distance ladder: parallax calibrates Cepheids, Cepheids calibrate supernovae, and supernovae reveal the expansion rate. The tension arises because the two approaches disagree at the 5-6 sigma level, meaning the chance of it being a statistical fluke is extremely low. Possible resolutions include new physics like early dark energy, varying fundamental constants, or systematic errors in distance measurements.
In practice
Resolving the Hubble tension is crucial for accurate cosmological parameter estimation, which affects our understanding of dark energy, dark matter, and the fate of the universe. It also impacts precision tests of general relativity on cosmic scales.
Fun fact
The Hubble tension has been called the 'crack in the standard model of cosmology' because it hints that our understanding of the universe's composition and evolution may be incomplete, potentially requiring a revision of the ΛCDM model.
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