Mathematicians confirmed: the ideal response to a pandemic is the 'hammer and dance' strategy. First, a sharp lockdown smashes the wave of infections like a hammer blow. When hospitals empty, the dance begins — a cautious, step-by-step return to normal life. This schedule emerged naturally from computer calculations: the system tried out options five weeks ahead, weighing the loss of lives and economic costs, and chose the gentlest path.
It's based on the standard model, which divides people into susceptible, infected, recovered, and vaccinated. Interestingly, looking beyond 35 days is pointless: the result barely changes. But planning for a shorter period makes losses skyrocket. Most surprising: this strategy was first proposed not by a scientist, but by a blogger-analyst; Bernoulli and Euler laid the mathematical groundwork, and modern calculations merely confirmed its validity.
After the 'hammer,' the system naturally seeks equilibrium: entropy increases, and the dance simply prevents it from tipping into new chaos. And the initial inflation of the epidemic demands exactly this kind of sharp response.
In 1760, Daniel Bernoulli mathematically proved that smallpox inoculation reduces mortality, long before the discovery of viruses.