A Recurrent Nova That Won't Become a Supernova express

Original: "Orbital Period Changes of Recurrent Nova T Pyxidis Demonstrate that M_ejecta >> 11.3xM_accreted and Is Not a Type Ia Supernova Progenitor"
· Bradley E. Schaefer
arXiv:2602.09377 · 2026-02-10 · CC BY 4.0 · 2 min
The star T Pyxidis ejects tens of times more material than it accumulates, so it will never explode as a Type Ia supernova.

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A pair of stars circles each other. One is a dense white dwarf the size of Earth but with the mass of the Sun. Its companion is a regular star that transfers material onto the white dwarf. From time to time, the accumulated gas erupts like a giant hydrogen bomb, making the star thousands of times brighter for a while. This is the recurrent nova T Pyxidis, and it has erupted six times since 1890.

But what happens to the material during an eruption? Some of it is ejected into space, while some remains on the white dwarf. If the dwarf eventually accumulates mass above a certain limit, it will explode as a Type Ia supernova — the very 'standard candle' used to measure distances in the universe. So astronomers have long debated: does T Pyxidis gain or lose mass?

Previously, attempts to measure the ejected mass using the brightness and spectrum of the eruption gave results differing by a factor of 130—from 'almost nothing' to 'a whole lot'.

The new method turned out to be simpler and more reliable. Astronomers monitored the orbital period of the pair from 1986 to 2025. After the 2011 eruption, the period increased by 50 parts per million — a tiny change, but enough to calculate the mass of the ejected material. It turned out that in a single eruption, the star loses more than 2400 ten-millionths of a solar mass, and over the entire cycle, it loses more than 11 times more than it manages to accumulate.

The white dwarf in the T Pyxidis system gains only 220 ten-millionths of a solar mass per cycle, but ejects thousands. Such a 'budget' doesn't add up.

This means T Pyxidis will never become a Type Ia supernova. This is already the seventh study to rule out popular candidate progenitors of such explosions. The question of what actually explodes as Type Ia supernovae remains open.

Original abstract

as written by the authors arXiv:2602.09377

Recurrent nova (RN) T Pyxidis (T Pyx) has a complex history of mass accreting-onto and ejection-from the white dwarf, with a classical nova eruption around 1866 kick-starting a RN-phase with six RN eruptions from 1890--2011. T Pyx is a primary progenitor candidate for Type Ia supernovae (SNIa). This is chiefly a question of whether the mass accreted by the white dwarf ($$M_{\rm accreted}$$) is more-or-less than the mass ejected by the nova eruptions ($$M_{\rm ejecta}$$) over the entire eruption cycle. Prior attempts to measure $$M_{\rm ejecta}$$ from the traditional methods have a scatter of $$>$$130$$\times$$, so only a new technique can provide a measure of adequate accuracy and reliability. This new technique is the timing experiment of measuring the orbital period from 1986 to 2025, where the period increased by $$+$$50.3$$\pm$$7.9 parts-per-million across the 2011 eruption. With simple and sure physics, the best estimate for the mass ejected by one RN event is $$>$$2400$$\times$$10$$^{-7}$$ M$$_{\odot}$$, with an extreme inviolate limit of $$\gg$$354$$\times$$10$$^{-7}$$ M$$_{\odot}$$. Over all eruptions in a cycle, $$M_{ejecta}$$$$>$$17120$$\times$$10$$^{-7}$$ M$$_{\odot}$$, with an inviolate limit of $$M_{ejecta}$$$$\gg$$2144$$\times$$10$$^{-7}$$ M$$_{\odot}$$. Over the full eruption cycle, the white dwarf accreted 220$$\times$$10$$^{-7}$$ M$$_{\odot}$$. So M$$_{\rm ejecta}$$$$\gg$$11.3$$\times$$M$$_{\rm accreted}$$, and T Pyx can never become a SNIa. This paper is the seventh in a series proving that each of various popular candidate SNIa progenitors cannot possibly evolve to a supernova; including V445 Pup, U Sco, T CrB, all symbiotic stars, FQ Cir, V1405 Cas, and now T Pyx.

The 2011 eruption of the recurrent nova T Pyxidis was so bright that the star could be seen with a small telescope, even though it is usually hundreds of times fainter.

Scientists
Enrico FermiPaul DiracFritz ZwickySubrahmanyan ChandrasekharAugustin-Louis CauchyChristiaan Huygens
Concepts
type ia supernova progenitor supernova 1987a