How Two Supernovae Helped Measure the Expansion Rate of the Universe ✛ ✦

Original: "A new $$H_0$$ measurement with SNe Requiem and Encore using $$\texttt{Gravity.jl}$$"
arXiv:2606.25205 · 2026-06-23 · CC BY-SA 4.0 · 1 min
Duplicate images of distant stellar explosions helped refine how fast space is expanding.

Light from a distant supernova is like a traffic light’s signal reflected in several storefronts: copies of the explosion reach us with different delays. In space, the 'storefronts' are galaxy clusters: their gravity warps space and creates multiple images of a single explosion. This effect, gravitational lensing, was predicted by Einstein, and Zwicky realized it could be used to study distant objects. Later, Hubble discovered that the universe is expanding, and now astronomers use lenses to measure the rate of that expansion.

Recently, two supernovae that exploded 10 billion years ago were ‘reflected’ by the massive cluster MACS J0138. The Hubble and James Webb telescopes saw several flashes, separated by years. Analyzing the delay with spectroscopy and photometry, and accounting for dark matter and dark energy, scientists calculated the expansion rate of the universe. It turned out to be close to data from the reddening of ancient light, but it diverges from local measurements. This discrepancy is a mystery, hinting that we don’t yet understand everything.

The most unexpected part: astronomers know for sure that the next image of one supernova will arrive in 2027. The cosmos has arranged a showing for us, right on schedule.

Two different supernovae in one distant galaxy is an incredibly rare event. Their light traveled to us for more than 10 billion years, and the time difference between their images is a full 11 years, allowing astronomers to plan observations in advance.

\Delta t_{ij} = \frac{D_{\Delta t}}{c} [\tau(\theta_i) - \tau(\theta_j)]
The delay between a pair of images is proportional to the difference in gravitational potentials of the trajectories and the so-called 'time-delay distance' D_Δt, which inversely depends on H₀.
D_{\Delta t} = (1+z_l) \frac{D_l D_s}{D_{ls}}
D_Δt links the distances to the lens, to the source, and between them; this quantity serves as a bridge between the delay and H₀, effectively setting the scale of cosmic clocks.
Scientists
Adam RiessBrian SchmidtEdwin HubbleGeorges LemaîtreMaarten SchmidtSaul Perlmutter
Concepts
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