Supernovae Point to a Changing Dark Energy express

Original: "Strong Progenitor Age-bias in Supernova Cosmology. II. Alignment with DESI BAO and Signs of a Non-Accelerating Universe"
arXiv:2510.13121 · 2025-10-15 · CC BY 4.0 · 1 min
Accounting for the age of supernova progenitor stars reveals that dark energy is likely not constant, but changes over time.

Astronomers use Type Ia supernovae as candles. Their brightness was thought to be unchanging. The discovery of the Universe’s acceleration using them brought a Nobel Prize to Riess, Perlmutter, and Schmidt. But measurements of the parent stars’ ages revealed: the older, the dimmer the explosion (5.5 sigma). The farther we look, the brighter supernovae appear — this distorts the picture of the Universe’s expansion. It’s like old candles giving off less light, and we misjudge distances.

Accounting for age changes everything: the data fits better into a model of changing dark energy, not the standard cosmological model.

Adding to the analysis the ‘echoes’ of the early Universe (baryon acoustic oscillations) and the cosmic microwave background, the contradiction with a constant dark energy intensifies to a staggering 9 sigma. The most unexpected outcome: the Universe’s acceleration may have already stopped.

Type Ia supernovae are born when a white dwarf pulls matter from a companion star and, reaching a critical mass, explodes. Despite the ‘Ia’ label, they have nothing to do with stellar classes — it’s a historical classification based on spectra.

Scientists
Alan GuthAlexander FriedmannAndrei LindeGeorges LemaîtreJames PeeblesBernhard Riemann
Concepts
progenitor stellar age supernova cosmology age of the universe cosmic chronometry standard cosmological model cosmology type ia supernova stellar population galaxy growth mechanisms big bang red giant stellar evolution lambda cdm