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The Climate Swings of Ancient Mars ⚡ экспресс

Original: "Limit cycles and the climate history of Mars"
· Jacob Haqq-Misra
arXiv:2601.07159v2 · 2026-01-12 · CC BY · ⏱ 1 min · Exoplanets
The planet periodically heated up and was briefly covered with rivers and lakes.
Abstract

For a long time, scientists couldn't explain why rivers flowed on ancient Mars — after all, the Sun was fainter back then. A new hypothesis: the planet's climate fluctuated thanks to the carbonate-silicate cycle (volcanoes release CO₂, warming the atmosphere, then precipitation binds the gas into rocks, leading to cooling). Modeling that accounts for the Sun's evolution and axial tilt shows that these episodic warm spells could have created river valleys 4.1–3.5 billion years ago and deltas 3.3–3.0 billion years ago. Such a 'climate pendulum' matches geological data and doesn't require a continuous greenhouse effect.

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For a long time, the climate of ancient Mars remained a mystery: the beds of dried-up rivers spoke of water, but models couldn't explain how it got there—after all, 4 billion years ago the Sun shone 30% dimmer. New research shows that the planet swayed, as if on a swing, between long glaciations and short wet epochs.

The culprit behind these swings was carbon dioxide. During cold periods it got bound up in rocks, and Mars froze. Then volcanoes spewed the gas back out, causing abrupt warming. Streams of water flowed across the surface, carving the valleys we see today. Each thaw lasted less than the entire existence of the human species—just a few million years, but that was enough to leave a noticeable mark.

Scientists accounted for the fact that the Sun brightened over time, and that Mars' axis wobbled greatly. Calculations showed that the climate swings occurred several times, explaining the different ages of the valleys. However, with each cycle, some of the atmosphere escaped into space, and eventually the planet froze for good. Today Mars is an icy desert, but remnants of ancient ice may still lurk beneath the surface.

🎯 Mars' axis wobbled greatly, sometimes exposing ice to direct sunlight—this added sharpness to the climate swings.

🎬 This picture echoes images of ancient Mars from science fiction, where a dying civilization struggled against encroaching drought.

Scientists
Ludwig BoltzmannDaniel BernoulliLeonhard EulerFred HoyleMargaret BurbidgeJoseph von Fraunhofer
Tags
Water carbon Sun
Laws
Stefan–Boltzmann lawBernoulli's principleArchimedes' principletriple-alpha process (Hoyle process)
Original: arXiv:2601.07159v2 · CC BY · bridge42worlds