climate

A forest does not live in a static world. Between winter and summer, day and night, conditions shift, and each fluctuation is like a rhythm that all its inhabitants must keep pace with. Yet until now, ecologists have mostly studied how communities of living beings persist in an unchanging environment, like testing a bridge's strength only in calm weather.

Rare species in a large community are like thin branches on a tree: a random gust can easily snap them. Even if conditions are stable, a small population simply lacks enough individuals to survive a bad season. In a new study, scientists added this factor to an ecosystem model and watched the community clean itself out.

Meteorologists have grown used to trusting neural networks: the GraphCast model predicts Earth's weather days ahead by drawing on global snapshots of the atmosphere. But this 'brain' can be transplanted to another planet — where the air is thin and the Sun warms differently.

In an oven, as temperature rises, molecules move faster and disorder increases. With language models like ChatGPT, it's the opposite. When developers increase the 'temperature' parameter, the model gets access to a wider choice of words, but its long texts suddenly start looping. A team of researchers tested 11 different AIs by generating 12,000 text continuations.

A planet in the habitable zone is no guarantee of life. Like a conductor leading an orchestra, a star dictates the tempo and character of planetary atmosphere evolution over billions of years.

Imagine a packed subway car at rush hour. Passengers don't just stand there: they breathe, release moisture, squeeze toward exits, and sometimes get stuck in doors, blocking movement. Now imagine these passengers can remodel the car's walls, add handrails, or turn the floor into gel.

For decades, global atmospheric models resembled artists forced to paint planetary storms with coarse brushstrokes: a resolution of 25–100 km forced them to 'guess' convection through approximate schemes, introducing systematic errors in rainfall and climate forecasts.

The heart doesn't beat like a metronome: its rhythm dances to the time of day. Each of us has a moment when our pulse hits its peak. This peak is like the hand of an internal clock, and it shifts from person to person. But what moves that hand? Researchers gave people smartwatches and tracked them for nearly a month.

A translator in a conference hall tries to convey the speaker's words, but the hall is noisy: someone coughs, chairs creak, and the street outside is loud. If the speaker lowers their voice, the translator still keeps translating, but their voice drowns in the noise.

Earth's magnetic field is like an invisible shield that protects us from cosmic radiation. But if you look closely at its long-term averaged pattern, you'll notice that this shield isn't perfectly smooth: it has its own "seams" and "patches." New research using computer simulations of the geodynamo shows that…

Two pendulums suspended from a single invisible spring swing in a shared air current. One always lags the other by exactly half a period: when the first swings left, the second is already returning from the right. By watching the first, you can tell where the second will be half a period later.

In 1991, Mount Pinatubo erupted with such force that it blanketed the planet in a thin veil of ash and gases for years. That veil, like a blanket on a hot night, trapped heat and cooled the ocean surface, causing tropical sea surface temperatures to dip. This event marks the start of a detective story about why some oceans are spawning ever more ferocious hurricanes while others remain calm.

Every year, the food we eat costs humanity tens of millions of years of life due to unhealthy diets. At the same time, a third of all greenhouse gases warming the planet are produced along the journey from farm to plate. It seems obvious: switch to healthier eating, and we'll save the climate and improve our health. But new research shows these two goals don't always go hand in hand.

A patchy landscape isn't just a picture from a geography textbook. For microbes, cells, or animals, the world is a mosaic of patches: warmer here, more food there, and behind that rock — almost poison. When a mutant with a new trait appears in such a mosaic, its fate depends on which patch it lands on. This new work ties two factors together.

Drylands are like skin cracking from dehydration. When rainfall decreases, plants don't vanish overnight: they rearrange, leaving bare patches of soil between them. These patterns are visible even from space. Scientists compared satellite images of eight arid regions, from the Sahel in Africa to Australian deserts.

The fate of a civilization isn't just a matter of luck or disasters. Scientists simulated a thousand years of history under ten different scenarios, accounting for resource consumption, governance, and random shocks. The key metric turned out to be the 'activity coefficient' – the fraction of time when a civilization is technologically alive. At best, this fraction nears 100%; at worst, it drops to 38%.

For 800,000 years, ice ages have occurred every 100,000 years. The rhythm matches the elongation of Earth's orbit. But the orbit changes the flow of solar heat so subtly — as if the conductor barely moved the baton, yet the orchestra thundered. It remained a mystery how this weak signal controls the ice sheets.

The Sun pulses in a slow rhythm, and that rhythm can be heard in the rains over Brazil. Sunspots on the solar disk thicken and thin roughly every eleven years, and along with them, pressure in the Pacific Ocean shifts, sea surface temperatures change, and then rainfall amounts in the northeast of the country follow suit.

In summer, the Arabian Sea breathes like a pair of bellows: one moment it pumps heat, the next it exhales moisture over a billion people. But sometimes this breathing stumbles, and the water off the coasts of India and Pakistan runs a few degrees hotter than usual.

Imagine a radiator in a room: it heats up, but if its surface is clogged with dust, heat escapes less efficiently. Something similar is happening to our planet. Earth receives energy from the Sun and must radiate the excess back into space, otherwise temperatures rise. Scientists call this ability to shed excess heat radiative feedback.

In two neighboring ponds, the same microorganisms swim. Food appears now in one, now in the other — randomly, with no rule. After a month, there are a hundred times more of them in the first pond than in the second. No one chose where to live. Just luck. This is how disequilibrium works. While the environment keeps changing, abundances don't have time to even out.

The weather on the next street can differ from yours: cooler by the river, hotter over asphalt, windier between buildings. A regular forecast misses this: its grid cell is the size of a city, not a backyard.

A solar panel on a roof produces little current in the morning, a lot at noon, and stays silent at night. Wind doesn't blow randomly either: it's often stronger in the morning and evening than during the day. Energy providers need to know in advance how much energy will be available in an hour or three, so they can switch on backup plants or store electricity in batteries in time.

A planet's climate is like an old spring mattress: press down on one edge, the springs compress; let go, they rebound and put everything back. Earth has three such springs, working as a team. Carbon dioxide weathers out of rocks, clouds reflect sunlight, and ice caps bounce heat back into space. Together, they keep the planet from boiling or freezing.

Old Chinese chronicles are full of weather entries: "no rain in the third month," "the river overflowed its banks." But these are words, not numbers. Until now, turning them into precise precipitation data was nearly impossible. The new approach works like a translator from the language of chronicles to the language of climatology.

Glaciers don't just darken from soot. Their surfaces host tiny algae that, as temperatures rise, bloom and turn the ice dark. Dark ice absorbs more sunlight, melts faster, and further warms the planet. It's like how a black t-shirt in the sun gets hotter than a white one. The second player in overheating is forests.

For a long time, the climate of ancient Mars remained a mystery: the beds of dried-up rivers spoke of water, but models couldn't explain how it got there — after all, 4 billion years ago the Sun shone 30% dimmer. New research shows that the planet swayed, as if on a swing, between long glaciations and short wet epochs.

An ice core from Antarctica is a time machine that recorded the climate for 130,000 years straight, year after year, with no gaps. Air bubbles trapped in the ice preserve the carbon dioxide of those ancient eras.

Rain doesn't fall just any old way. If you take records from nearly fifty thousand rain gauges scattered across the globe and compare how much water falls on a rainy day in different parts of the planet, you'll spot a surprising pattern.

The Tibetan Plateau is a giant sponge that soaks up rain and snow, then releases water to Asia's rivers. Since 2000, the sponge has been getting wetter. Scientists decided to check: does this moisture make the sponge stronger, or does it soften it? They used a measure of disorder — entropy.

In a cloud, billions of droplets swirl around, collide, and merge: that's how rain is born. But exactly how turbulence, those invisible air swirls, helps or hinders droplet growth has been unclear. In the lab, researchers recreated a slice of a cloud and tracked every droplet.

The Sun is slowly brightening, and in hundreds of millions of years its heat would become lethal for Earth. Fortunately, the built-in planetary thermostat — the carbon cycle — when overheating triggers rocks to absorb carbon dioxide faster, cooling the climate.

Every day, about 40,000 thunderstorms flash across the planet. In that moment, the atmosphere resembles an orchestra without sheet music: warm air rises like a bow stroke, winds aloft carry the melody, and lightning punctuates the finale. But who conducts this orchestra?

The orchestra assembled, the instruments were tuned, but there was barely any music: that's what the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season looked like. The ocean was the fifth warmest on record, and a weak La Niña usually adds strength to storms. But instead of a continuous concert, we got isolated thunderous chords: three Category 5 hurricanes, with silence in between. Why was the orchestra silent?

The climate of the United States is not a straight line creeping upward. It is an orchestra without a conductor, where every violin and every drum plays its own part, and together they create an intricate pattern of warm and cold, wet and dry years.

After the Moon's birth, Earth resembled a sizzling lump of dough: a continuous liquid magma and a dense shroud of gases. The Moon acted like a giant spoon, constantly kneading this lump with its gravity. Friction generated heat, delaying cooling.

An orchestra of two musicians plays from the same score, but each hears only their own line. The atmosphere and ocean in a climate model resemble such a duet: they exchange heat and moisture every few hours, yet until recently their neural network counterparts could not keep a common rhythm.

For 36 days, tropical cyclone Freddy raged over the Indian Ocean, the longest-lived cyclone on record. Meteorologists tracked it from satellites, aircraft, and ground stations. But one detail eluded all instruments: the precise air density deep within the vortex. And that density determines where the cyclone will turn tomorrow.

In May 2024, thermometers in Jalisco seemed to go haywire: on May 10, one station recorded 38.4°C, nearly matching the historical maximum from 1994. The heat was so intense that even agave plants, accustomed to scorching conditions, slowed their growth. And the rains, which usually arrive in June, were delayed, leaving farmers nervously glancing at the sky.

A translator at a high-stakes negotiation doesn't just render words quickly; they make sure the meaning doesn't get lost. CAMulator does the same: it takes the complex climate model CAM6 and translates it into the language of a neural network that runs hundreds of times faster, without losing the physical essence.