What El Niño Sounds Like: Climate Set to a Javanese Orchestra ✛ ✎

Original: "Preliminary sonification of ENSO using traditional Javanese gamelan scales"
arXiv:2602.14560 · 2026-02-16 · arXiv non-exclusive · independent analysis · 2 min
Temperature swings in the Pacific over 155 years have been turned into gamelan music, and researchers checked whether the chaos survives in sound.

On the island of Java, every gamelan orchestra tunes its bronze keys differently, so two neighboring ensembles can sound slightly distinct. Researchers used this quirk to turn climate data into music and test whether the chaotic nature of El Niño survives in sound.

El Niño is a fluctuation in Pacific sea surface temperatures that recurs irregularly, roughly every two to seven years. Such fluctuations are usually shown as graphs, but graphs are only seen with the eyes. Hearing is better at catching repetitions and rhythm, so the data were converted into notes. They took two Javanese scales: pelog, with uneven intervals between notes, and slendro, with more even spacing. Each note was assigned a loudness depending on how far the temperature deviated from the norm and how quickly it changed.

To separate fast changes from slow ones, the data were decomposed into four time scales, like four sound layers. From these layers, four compositional approaches were assembled: all layers at once, layers in sequence, one layer leading while another accompanies, and five main frequencies controlling timbre.

After that, the sound was split into frames and two features were measured: brightness (how high or low the pitch is) and energy (how loud). Then trajectories were built in the space of these two features, and they looked at how often a trajectory returns to places it has already visited. It turned out that when layers alternate, the trajectory often follows familiar paths, while when all layers sound simultaneously, it wanders over a large area. The scales also matter: in pelog, high notes are quieter, while in slendro, such a relationship is almost absent.

Previously, it was unclear whether a sonification preserves the dynamics of the data. Now there is a simple way to measure it: compute recurrence, area, and path length. This method could be useful, for instance, in climate communication, when you need to convey alarming changes to people who are not used to reading graphs.

Gamelan ensembles are not tuned to a single standard: each orchestra has its own microtonal tuning, called 'embet', making its sound unique. This study used an approximation of equal temperament, so a real Javanese gamelan would sound different.

\gamma_1 = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{N} \left( \frac{\theta_i - \bar{\theta}}{\sigma} \right)^3
A measure of distribution asymmetry: a positive value indicates a longer tail toward warm anomalies.
\gamma_2 = \frac{1}{N} \sum_{i=1}^{N} \left( \frac{\theta_i - \bar{\theta}}{\sigma} \right)^4 - 3
A measure of tail heaviness relative to a Gaussian distribution: a positive value means more frequent extreme deviations.
\rho_1 = \frac{\sum_{i=1}^{N-1} (\theta_i - \bar{\theta})(\theta_{i+1} - \bar{\theta})}{\sum_{i=1}^{N} (\theta_i - \bar{\theta})^2}
A measure of inertia: how strongly today's value relates to the previous month.
Concepts
ENSO Jin-Timmermann model El Niño index El Niño-Southern Oscillation Multivariate ENSO Index spring predictability barrier TAO/TRITON moorings recharge oscillator model Southern Oscillation equatorial wave propagation La Niña relative ONI ERSST NOAA PMEL / TAO natural variability nonlinear laplacian spectral analysis Teleconnection tropospheric biennial oscillation zebiak cane model Niño 3.4 region