A jazz ensemble: at first, a cacophony of random notes. Then — a catchy riff that plays over and over. Such is the riddle of the origin of life — only in the language of chemistry. In a computer model of random molecular interactions called GARD, scientists recreated the primordial 'soup', where simple compounds float around, sometimes helping each other assemble into larger chains.
An invisible switch flipped. When the 'causal strength' crosses the threshold, molecules capable of copying themselves spontaneously emerge in the mixture. Moreover, by artificially strengthening or weakening it, you can extend or shorten the lives of such replicators. collective behavior of molecules acts as a volume knob: turn it up, the riff plays louder and clearer; turn it down, it fades. Such a conductor's console works in any active 'soup'—even before evolution takes up its score.
Even in a completely chaotic mixture, the emergence of life can be predicted, just measure its 'causal potential'.