Winds in DNA: Why Mutations Flow Downhill but Sometimes Swirl ✛ ✎

Original: "Human mutation field reveals an equilibrium-like structure with irreversible circulation"
arXiv:2609.07500v1 · 2026-09-07 · CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 · independent analysis · 1 min
Mutations in DNA are like wind over mountains: mostly blowing downhill, but in some places forming eddies.

Wind over mountains mostly blows downhill because that is the path of least resistance. But in some valleys, the air curls into small eddies. Mutations in human DNA behave in much the same way.

DNA is made of four letters: A, T, G, and C. Sometimes one letter is replaced by another. Scientists measured how often this happens and found that most replacements go in one direction, like water flowing into a lowland. But there are also rare cycles where letters change in a loop: A to G, G to T, T back to A.

Such cycles break the equilibrium in which every replacement is balanced by its reverse. They are weak, but they show up across different human populations. The strongest eddies occur at CpG sites, where cytosine precedes guanine. This is because methylated cytosine can lose an amino group and turn into thymine, creating a one-way mutational flow.

The map of mutational winds shows that the genome is nearly at equilibrium, but weak eddies remain in CpG valleys. These eddies help us understand how mutations arise and could be useful for studying cancer or comparing different species.

Chargaff's symmetry, which the model reproduces, was discovered by Erwin Chargaff in the 1950s and became a key to unraveling the structure of DNA by Watson and Crick.

Concepts
mutation biological stochastic dynamics predictive model phylogenetic network evolution horizontal gene transfer linear inverse model genetic algorithm Price equation linear regression Haeckel's biogenetic law stochastic gene expression monsoon Hardy–Weinberg principle genomics prediction prognosis regime shift Analogue forecast CPT theorem