Why El Niño Makes the Skies Over Chile Drier

Original: "On the Impact of ENSO Cycles and Climate Change on Telescope Sites in Northern Chile"
arXiv:2309.14734 · 2023-09-26 · CC BY 4.0 · 1 min
Warm phases of the Pacific cycle bring heat and dryness to the Atacama, while cold phases bring moisture and coolness.

The Atacama Desert in Chile is one of the driest places on Earth. Clouds are rare, and the air is so devoid of moisture that even the faint light of distant galaxies reaches telescopes without hindrance. But even here, weather follows the Pacific El Niño cycle. It is like an invisible conductor that alternately warms and cools the ocean, and with the water temperature, observing conditions change.

Astronomers from the European Southern Observatory gathered data from four sites at different altitudes. They recorded temperature, humidity, and how strongly the air blurs star images (known as astronomical seeing). These records were then compared with El Niño and La Niña phases. It turned out that during warm El Niño phases the air becomes drier and warmer, while during cold La Niña phases it becomes more humid and cooler. But the blurring itself remains nearly the same.

This finding helps astronomers plan observations months ahead. If El Niño is expected, complex infrared observations can be scheduled because the air will be dry. Global warming, meanwhile, does not yet degrade image quality.

Now astronomers can align their plans with the Pacific rhythm, just as musicians follow their conductor. And although the conductor is not always predictable, his score is becoming clearer.

The Chajnantor plateau at 5000 meters is so dry that water vapor is barely detectable: the density of water vapor in the air is tens of times lower than at sea level. That is why millimeter-wave radio telescopes, which are most affected by water vapor, are being built there.

Concepts
El Niño ENSO La Niña Niño 4 Southern Oscillation Warm water volume spring predictability barrier recharge oscillator model ERSST NOAA CPC Multivariate ENSO Index Jin-Timmermann model vlt alma act North Atlantic Oscillation TAO/TRITON moorings seasonal cycle Indian Ocean capacitor effect relative ONI