Why Your Water and Power Depend on a Warm Ocean Current ✎

Original: "Integrated analysis of the urban water-electricity demand nexus in the Midwestern United States"
arXiv:1902.10697 · 2019-02-26 · arXiv non-exclusive · independent analysis · 1 min
In six US cities, scientists found that heat from El Niño makes people use more water and electricity at the same time.

On a hot day, the tap and the air conditioner work as a team: one pours water, the other gulps electricity. A city is like an organism, with water and power as two connected vessels. In the past, they were studied separately, but now scientists have gathered data from six US cities over ten years and built a model that predicts both resources at once.

It turns out the main signal is El Niño, the warm current in the Pacific Ocean. When it strengthens, cities get hotter and drier. People water, wash, and cool off more, so water and electricity are consumed together. The model showed that water is even more sensitive to weather than electricity.

In Indianapolis, after accounting for the time of year, the model explained 71% of the variation in water use but only 41% of the variation in electricity use. This means water is a more sensitive indicator of climate.

Now utilities can monitor El Niño and prepare in advance for surges in demand. In this way, a city, like a single organism, learns to breathe in rhythm with the climate.

In Chicago and Cleveland, no seasonality was found in water consumption, unlike in the other cities. This may be because both cities are located on the shores of the Great Lakes, which smooths out climatic fluctuations.

Scientists
Daniel BernoulliLeonhard EulerArchimedes
Concepts
Warm water volume El Niño Multivariate ENSO Index La Niña recharge oscillator model ERSST ENSO El Niño index climate network IRI Indian Ocean capacitor effect spring predictability barrier interannual variability Bjerknes feedback Earth's energy imbalance forecast zebiak cane model North Equatorial Countercurrent equatorial wave propagation relative ONI