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Freezing Ice and Expanding Space ⚡ экспресс

Original: "Freezing lakes as analogue models of $$\Lambda$$CDM cosmology and beyond"
arXiv:2602.24019 · 2026-02-27 · CC0 · ⏱ 1 min · General Relativity
The growth of lake ice follows the same formulas as the accelerating expansion of the universe.
Abstract

Scientists have discovered that lake freezing and the expansion of the Universe are described by remarkably similar equations. Previously, they only compared heat transfer through ice, but now they've added water mixing (convection) — and this has led to an analogue of dark energy. Could observing ice help us better understand the cosmos?

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In winter, a lake freezes over—and this simple process turns out to be a living model of an expanding universe. Ice thickness grows according to the same mathematical law as the distances between distant galaxies.

The secret lies in the movement of water beneath the ice crust. When warm layers rise and cold ones sink, this circulation delivers heat to the growing ice. An extra term appears in the equations, behaving exactly like dark energy—a constant invisible force that causes galaxies to rush apart with acceleration. In the lake, this "energy" slows ice growth, while in space, it does the opposite—it pushes expansion forward.

Amazingly, the formula for this scenario was first written by physicist Josef Stefan back in 1891 while studying ice forming on ponds. Now that same equation underpins models that predict the fate of the entire cosmos.

🎯 Stefan's equation, derived for simple ice, is now even used to calculate the cooling of Mars' surface.

Scientists
Alan GuthAndrei LindeGeorges LemaîtreJames PeeblesAdam RiessBrian Schmidt
Tags
expansion of the universe dark energy Water
Laws
Friedmann equationsHubble's lawBernoulli's principleArchimedes' principle
Original: arXiv:2602.24019 · CC0 · bridge42worlds