When the first stars ignited, their ultraviolet light began stripping electrons from hydrogen atoms. The universe transformed from a neutral fog into transparent plasma. This process, cosmic reionization, proceeded unevenly: slowly at first, like a fire catching in damp wood, then faster as the flames spread through dry tinder.
Until now, calculations typically used a symmetric curve, as if the fog dissipated equally smoothly at the beginning and end. The new work replaces it with the Gompertz curve, originally devised to describe population growth: a slow start, a sharp rise, and a plateau. This approach better reflects the physics. Initially, there are few ultraviolet sources, and only when they become abundant does the process accelerate.
This allows for a more precise determination of the sum of neutrino masses — particles that barely interact with matter. The new data hint at a possible discrepancy with laboratory neutrino oscillation experiments. This discrepancy might have been hidden before due to the crude reionization model.
Thus, a growth curve invented for populations helps us peer into the universe's infancy and weigh its most elusive particles more accurately.
The Gompertz curve, used in the model, was proposed in 1825 to describe mortality tables, and now it describes how the universe became transparent.