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Politics as a Galaxy: Public Opinion Obeys Physics ⚡ экспресс

Original: "A quantum-like model of political consensus via non self-adjoint Hamiltonians"
· Fabio Bagarello, Gloria Liarda
arXiv:2606.19014 · 2026-06-17 · CC BY · ⏱ 1 min · Math Physics Math Physics Quantum Physics
Quantum math helped model how government support rises and falls over time.
Abstract

We examine the use of non-self-adjoint Hamiltonians and the associated Heisenberg dynamics to model a political system comprising a coalition of parties (the government) and their supporters. The aim is to describe how supporter opinions evolve in response to the perceived effectiveness, competence, and coherence of the coalition's actions. After a general introduction, three specific models are proposed, and the dynamical behavior of the full system (supporters and coalition) is investigated and discussed. Detailed analysis is given to balanced Hamiltonians—a class of operators recently introduced in the literature in connection with integrals of motion.

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Imagine a political system as a vast galaxy. Parties are stars, and supporters are dark matter—invisible but holding the whole structure together. The mood of this mass oscillates: condensing into hot support or dispersing as cold disillusionment. Over time, the spread of opinions grows, boosting entropy—a measure of chaos, like particles scattering in a cooling cloud.

To describe such flows, physicists turned to the mathematics of quantum mechanics—the kind that underpins the work of Werner Heisenberg. Its core idea is simple: a system exchanges energy with its surroundings, and the scientists swapped energy for public trust. The political galaxy isn't closed: trust comes and goes, just as stars are born and fade.

The authors considered three possible paths. When a coalition acts in harmony, support grows smoothly—like a galaxy in a calm phase. Internal strife causes sharp spikes, akin to star clusters colliding. The third scenario is a fragile balance: the slightest crisis collapses everything, like gravitational collapse. So abstract equations explain why some governments stay popular for ages while others plummet in an instant—no polling required.

🎯 It turns out that the math of quantum mechanics can catch the very moment when public opinion is about to shift dramatically—before analysts even notice.

🎬 A similar idea underlies psychohistory from Isaac Asimov's Foundation series—where math predicted the fate of galactic empires.

Scientists
Albert EinsteinFritz ZwickyVera RubinJacob BekensteinStephen HawkingLudwig Boltzmann
Tags
galaxy dark matter entropy
Laws
second law of thermodynamicsgravitational lensingBekenstein-Hawking entropyBoltzmann distributionfirst law of thermodynamicsvirial theorem
Original: arXiv:2606.19014 · CC BY · bridge42worlds