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The Last Cry of an Alien Civilization ⚡ экспресс

Original: "The Eschatian Hypothesis"
· David Kipping
arXiv:2512.09970 · 2025-12-10 · CC BY · ⏱ 1 min · Popular Physics Instrumentation
Most likely, we'll notice the first alien civilization by its anomalously bright flash — possibly a dying one.
Abstract

The history of astronomy teaches us: first detections often come from rare, extreme events, not from typical ones. The same goes for the search for extraterrestrial civilizations — most likely, the first one we'll notice will be unusually "loud," possibly experiencing a crisis or dying. It's like hearing not the steady hum of a city, but a single powerful explosion. What if our future telescopes first pick up someone's farewell signal?

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The galaxy is like a city at night: most windows shine steadily, but sometimes a skyscraper lights up all its lights and then goes dark. Just like that, according to a new hypothesis about planets around alien stars (exoplanet), we might first notice another civilization — by a short but blinding flash that could mark its demise. Astronomers have long known: the most noticeable objects are the ones that behave extremely. For example, an exploding star (supernova) is visible across half the universe. Likewise, a civilization becomes 'loud' when it spends colossal energy — building megastructures or burning resources. Calculations show that in that phase it must radiate at least 1% of its total historical energy.

This phase might be not just a peak, but a sign of the end — an ecological catastrophe, war, or transition to another state.

This brief flash is likely what we'll take as first contact. So we should search not for familiar signals, but for any anomalies: sudden excess heat, a strange chemical fingerprint in light (studied by spectroscopy). If such a civilization is on the other side of the Galaxy, its last 'cry' will travel for thousands of years — we'll see the flash of a world long gone.

🎯 An example of a 'loud' technology might be a Dyson sphere — a giant shell around a star that an advanced civilization could build to harvest all its energy. Such a structure would completely enclose the star, but would itself glow in infrared, giving away its creators.

\frac{E_{\text{loud}}}{E_{\text{total}}} \gtrsim 0.01
The ratio of energy emitted in the bright phase to the civilization's total energy must be at least about 1%.
Scientists
Christian DopplerD. B. McLaughlinDidier QuelozMichel MayorR. A. RossiterDavid Charbonneau
Tags
exoplanet spectroscopy supernova photometry
Laws
Doppler effectKepler's third lawMaxwell's equationsPlanck's lawPlanck–Einstein relationWien's displacement law
Original: arXiv:2512.09970 · CC BY · bridge42worlds