How Stratospheric Weather Alters Particle Counters Deep Underground express

Original: "On the Nonlinear Dependence of Underground Muon Rate on Atmospheric Temperature Observed at Daya Bay"
· Lei Liao, Taichong Ge, Zhe Wang
arXiv:2606.09116 · 2026-06-08 · CC BY 4.0 · 2 min
Air temperature at an altitude of 15 kilometers controls the flow of invisible particles in an underground laboratory.

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Deep underground, in the thickness of granite, detectors catch rare visitors from space — muons. These particles are born high in the atmosphere when cosmic rays slam into air nuclei. They make it to the underground lab thanks to their enormous speed, close to the speed of light. But the journey isn't easy: along the way, a muon loses energy and can decay before reaching the detector. And here's the surprise — a muon's chances of survival depend on the air temperature above.

Previously, this was explained simply: when the air warms, it expands, density drops, and muons are born a bit higher, where it's easier for them to accelerate. But in the Daya Bay experiment in China, a nonlinearity was seen — the graph didn't follow a straight line but had a kink. The authors of the new work realized that old calculations only looked at the "kitchen" where muons are prepared, forgetting about the "road" through the entire atmosphere. They accounted for how temperature changes with altitude and derived more general equations where each layer of air contributes its share.

The atmosphere is a layered cake a hundred kilometers tall. A muon flying through it feels not only the weather on "its own floor" but also how dense the clouds below are or how thin the air is near the edge of space.

To test the idea, the scientists used the MCEq program, which simulates the birth and passage of particles in the atmosphere, and fed it real temperature data from weather balloons. The result matched expectations: the dependence became straight, as theory predicted. This isn't just a mathematical exercise — many neutrino observatories, including IceCube at the South Pole, use similar corrections to separate signal from atmospheric noise. The new calculation scheme promises to be more accurate, and thus help hear the fainter whisper of distant supernovae or black holes.

Original abstract

as written by the authors arXiv:2606.09116

The underground cosmic-ray muon rate is known to be modulated by atmospheric temperature. It can be explained by the theories of Barrett, Gaisser, and others. However, at the Daya Bay Neutrino Experiment, the dependence on temperature is observed to be nonlinear. We found that, when deriving the temperature dependence of muon rate, existing theories only consider the impact of local temperature on muon production at the layer where muons are produced. In this work, we provide an more general solution to the cascade equations, which is complex enough to fully depict how entire temperautre profile would influence the final muon rate. Corresponding definitions of the effective temperature weight and temperature coefficient are also presented. We examine the results with numerical tool MCEq and real atmospheric temperature input. A linear modulation is recovered and verified. This work can help to explain the nonlinear effect found at Daya Bay, and provide a more refined calculation framework for temperature coefficient calculation for other experiments.

The muon is a true champion of penetration: it can fly through a kilometer of rock before stopping. Every second, about one such "heavenly messenger" passes through your palm.

Scientists
Enrico FermiPaul DiracSubrahmanyan ChandrasekharEmile ClapeyronAlbert EinsteinBarry Barish
Concepts
room temperature muon magnetic moment sea surface temperature muon cooling rate NOAA CPC relative ONI Oceanic Niño index magnetocaloric effect UAH satellite record climate model ocean-atmosphere coupling radiosonde exoplanet atmospheres neutrino flavor Indian Ocean Dipole reaction rate Curie's law North Atlantic Oscillation atmospheric pressure